How Google Searches Can Predict Hockey Ticket Sales

You may have doubts, as some readers did, about whether Google searches are a reliable way to predict that an NHL expansion team would struggle in Las Vegas. But it’s actually a pretty good way to forecast this kind of thing, and there’s another way to prove it:It turns out that there’s a strong relationship between Google searches and an NHL team’s bottom line. How often fans are Googling the term “NHL” in a metro area reliably predicts how much they’re spending on hockey tickets.In the chart below, I’ve estimated how much fans spent on tickets at each NHL arena during the past regular season. The process is simple: I just took total home attendance and multiplied it by the average ticket price.1The average ticket price is estimated based on a 50/50 blend of face-value and resale-market prices. For face-value prices, I used data from Team Marketing Report. For resale prices, I used data from TiqIQ, averaging prices from the start of the 2014-15 season and its most recent report in February. Then I compared ticket spending against the estimated number of NHL fans in each market based on Google search traffic.2The only new wrinkle: I subdivided fans between the New York Rangers, the New York Islanders and the New Jersey Devils based on the relative Google search volume for each team in the New York metro area. The Rangers are more popular than the other teams and capture more than half of New York’s hockey fan base. I did the same in the Los Angeles area; the LA Kings are more popular than the Anaheim Ducks. As you can see, there’s a strong correlation. Nine of the 10 most popular teams based on Google searches also ranked in the top 10 in ticket sales this season, the exception being the Philadelphia Flyers.Further, there are huge differences in ticket sales between the top and bottom teams. Whereas fans spent only $27 million on Florida Panthers tickets this season, they shelled out more than $184 million (in U.S. dollars) to see the Toronto Maple Leafs play.Most of the differences are based on discrepancies in ticket prices rather than attendance. The NHL is a terrific live-spectator experience — I say this as someone who spends way too much on Rangers tickets — and most NHL teams can sell out their arenas if they charge the right price. But the right price varies. Whereas the average ticket cost $236 in Toronto, it was $74 in Tampa.The relationship is even clearer if we chart the data:You’ll notice that there are some diminishing returns to having more fans in your area.3I’ve used a logarithmic curve to fit the data, which tracks it more closely than a linear fit. Perhaps this is because there are only so many good seats available for each game or because larger markets like Toronto and New York have more non-hockey substitutes for the fan’s entertainment dollar.Still, the correlation is clear, and very strong. The size of the fan base, based on Google searches, accounts for 81 percent of the differences in ticket sales.4The 81 percent figure reflects the coefficient of determination of the regression line.You could undoubtedly do a bit better still by accounting for other factors, like how well the team has played recently. The on-ice success of the Chicago Blackhawks may explain why they do so well at the box office, for instance.But there aren’t a lot of exceptions, and there aren’t a lot of favorable precedents for a hockey team in Las Vegas. The Nashville Predators are a comparative success story — they’re a very good team that’s made some inroads in a highly non-traditional hockey market. And yet, while the Preds are usually selling out their rink, fans are paying comparatively little for tickets. So Nashville ranked just 24th in NHL ticket spending this year, and the Predators have barely been breaking even financially.Several other teams in non-traditional hockey markets — the Arizona Coyotes and Florida Panthers, for instance — are losing money. And most of them play in metro areas with considerably larger populations than Las Vegas.When should you be skeptical of Google Trends data? Sometimes ambiguities of language can cause problems. (Do you mean Kenny Rogers the singer or Kenny Rogers the pitcher?) And as the complexity of the analysis increases, so can the potential for error. It proved to be more difficult than Google expected to determine which searches predicted flu outbreaks, for example — although that was more an issue of flawed analysis than faulty data.In this case, though, Google is just stating the obvious: Putting an NHL team in a small market in the middle of the desert isn’t a good gamble. read more

Alexis Sanchez trains with Manchester United in UCLA

first_imgAlexis Sanchez has trained with his Manchester United team-mates in the USA for the first time, after landing in Los Angeles following his visa issues.The former Arsenal player had previously been busy working with one of the fitness coaches at the Aon Training Complex, but he is expected to play a part in Sunday’s friendly match against San Jose Earthquakes.United legend Denis Irwin revealed his admiration for the player in an interview saying “His arrival is a boost for the squad, and this pre-season training will be good for him,” “Alexis came to the club in January, and he knows the Premier League, but this is a chance to get his team-mates even better. You can’t beat pre-season!“Don’t forget he has been working at the Aon Training Complex as well, so he is not rusty, he is up to speed, and that leads me to think he will play a part against San Jose Earthquakes..@Alexis_Sanchez arrives at training – welcome to LA! ??? #MUTOUR #MUFC pic.twitter.com/fYprbiSpyoharry maguire, manchester UnitedMaguire says United need to build on today’s win George Patchias – September 14, 2019 Harry Maguire wants his United teammates to build on the victory over Leicester City.During the summer, Harry Maguire was referred to as the ultimate…— Manchester United (@ManUtd) July 21, 2018Mourinho had already suggested Alexis will appear against San Jose Earthquakes in Santa Clara, telling MUTV: When he lands, he has to play, because he trained with us for five days before we departed to LA and we left one fitness coach behind with him. Of course, it is individual training but, when he arrives, he has to play. If he is coming, he has to play.”Jose Mourinho’s men face San Jose Earthquakes on Sunday ahead of International Champions Cup matches against AC Milan, Liverpool, and Real Madrid, rounding off pre-season against Bayern Munich.United will then kick off the 2018-19 Premier League season with a home game against Leicester City on August 10.last_img read more

Messi will not be joining Ronaldo in Italy says Inter vicepresident

first_imgLionel Messi will not be joining his long-time rival Cristiano Ronaldo in the Serie A for the foreseeable future, says Inter Milan vice-president Javier ZanettiThe Barcelona superstar has been linked with a sensational move to Inter for next summer following comments made the club’s principal shirt sponsor Pirelli.The Italian tyre supplier’s CEO, Marco Tronchetti Provera, recently revealed his hope that the club’s owners Suing will make their move soon.“I hope that Suning, once Financial Fair Play will allow it, can make a huge signing. Messi? How can you say no to Messi?” he said earlier this week.But Zanetti has now quashed all rumours linking Inter with a potential move for the five-time Ballon d’Or winner.“It’s crazy,” said the Argentine, according to ESPN.“It’s devoid of any truth that we’re going to ask for Messi.”? | Go back over #SUFCInter with our photo gallery? https://t.co/AYLsh9OQlB#InterOnTour #InterPreSeason #ForzaInter ⚫️? pic.twitter.com/fxVa5WiSSr— Inter (@Inter_en) July 24, 2018Maurizio Sarri, JuventusMaurizio Sarri satisfied despite Juventus’ draw at Fiorentina Andrew Smyth – September 14, 2019 Maurizio Sarri was satisfied with Juventus’ performance on Saturday afternoon after finishing a tough game at Fiorentina 0-0.Inter already have two very capable strikers in Lautaro Martinez and captain Mauro Icardi, although the latter has been linked with a move away from the San Siro this summer.But Zanetti instead intends to offer Icardi a new contract within the next few weeks.“Icardi’s staying, and as soon as the transfer window closes, we’re going to sit down with him to discuss a renewal,” Zanetti said.“He’s a real captain. He started preseason training a day early and has been there to welcome all of the new arrivals. He’s the first to introduce them to what Inter is all about. He’s a great, great professional. He’s been Inter’s captain for two years and he behaves like a captain. He’s not going to Real Madrid.”The arrival of Argentine attacker Martinez from Racing Avellaneda this summer is something that has greatly pleased Zanetti.Inter’s new no.10 had been linked with both Borussia Dortmund and Atletico Madrid.“As soon as we realised he had not definitely signed for Atletico, we took this opportunity immediately,” Zanetti said.“Lautaro is definitely a player who can do well in Europe.”last_img read more

Richarlison a doubt for Chelsea match says Marco Silva

first_imgEverton manager Marco Silva has revealed that Brazilian winger Richarlison might miss their away game at Stamford Bridge on Sunday due to injury.Richarlison has been impressive for Everton this season after his £40m transfer from Watford last summer.The Brazilian has netted six times in nine Premier League matches but missed Everton’s training session on Thursday due to injury.“Let’s see how he will react after the individual work he did this morning,” Silva told Sky Sports.“We know he’s important for us as a striker and as a winger,” he said.Premier LeaguePremier League Betting: Match-day 5 Stuart Heath – September 14, 2019 Going into the Premier League’s match-day five with a gap already beginning to form at the top of the league. We will take a…“If he’s not fit there’s good options for other players in his position. It’s football. The players waiting for their chance have all my confidence.“It’s important for him and the club. The club paid a lot of money to sign him.“I told you from the first moment he signed I had no doubts. Not just because he can score as a striker and a winger but how he can work and how he can have a fantastic connection with our fans because he is a fighter and he never gives up.”last_img read more

Alaska House Backtracks On Full Dividend Vote

first_imgFacebook0TwitterEmailPrintFriendly分享JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) — The Alaska House’s populist vote to pay Alaskans the full amount for their oil-wealth fund checks has been undone. Lawmakers rescinded the vote Friday after debate over Alaska Permanent Fund dividends derailed efforts to pass a state operating budget. Monday’s vote for a fully funded dividend, held during a drawn-out budget debate, split the House majority and spurred minority Republicans to seek bigger budget cuts to win over their members. The size of the oil check was cut roughly in half the last two years amid gridlock over Alaska’s budget deficit.center_img A handful of majority members who supported a full dividend Monday backed undoing that vote Friday. Rather than a full payout, estimated at about $2,650, lawmakers voted for a $1,600 dividend this year.last_img read more

Troopers Warn Of Community Scam Alert

first_imgThese individuals have called citizens in an effort to gain personal information and extort money. The Alaska State Troopers will NOT call your residence, business, or place of employment to collect unpaid debts, bail, court judgments, or other monetary instruments. If you are in question of the validity of a law enforcement officer or their requests, citizens should get the name of the alleged officer and call their local police agency to verify their identity. Citizens are encouraged not to provide personal information to anyone over the phone.center_img Facebook0TwitterEmailPrintFriendly分享The Alaska State Troopers have received reports of a recent scam involving unknown individuals who claim to be Alaska State Troopers or other law enforcement.last_img read more

Cards Down Hoosiers 52

first_img LOUISVILLE, Ky. – Redshirt freshman Taylor Roby connected on a three-run homer and picked up the save in the circle to help the University of Louisville softball team beat Indiana 5-2 Tuesday evening at Ulmer Stadium. The Cardinals (21-10) will return to ACC play this weekend when they travel to Blacksburg, Va., to take on No. 24/19 Virginia Tech in a three game series. Tara Trainer (18-5) took the loss, giving up four earned runs on five hits and striking out five in 3.0 innings. Lambert led the Hoosiers with a 2-for-4 performance at the plate. Print Friendly Version Louisville tacked on another insurance run in the sixth when junior Caitlin Ferguson doubled, took third on Roby’s groundout and crossed the plate on sophomore Kyra Snyder’s bunt.   Live Stats Story Links Louisville jumped to a 1-0 lead when Funke led off the bottom of the first by taking the first pitch she saw over the fence in right centerfield for her second home run of the season. Photo Gallery Matchup History Watch Live Full Schedule Roster center_img The Cards countered behind Roby’s three-run homer in the third. Hensley reached on a fielder’s choice and freshman Rebecca Chung singled to set up Roby’s towering shot over the left field wall for her second homer of the season. Preview Indiana answered in the second inning with an RBI triple by Taylor Lambert. Louisville 5 – Indiana 2 Grayson Radcliffe’s solo home run in the fourth cut the Hoosiers’ deficit to 4-2. Senior Megan Hensley (9-1) got the win after giving up two earned runs on five hits and striking out three in five innings. Roby struck out one and scattered two hits in 2.0 innings of relief. The Cards used eight hits, including home runs from Roby and junior Celene Funke to power past the Hoosiers (25-10). Next Game: at Virginia Tech 3/29/2019 | 6:00 p.m.last_img read more

£4 million safety works ordered after these huge cracks appeared on this

first_imgGet the biggest Daily stories by emailSubscribeSee our privacy noticeThank you for subscribingSee our privacy noticeCould not subscribe, try again laterInvalid EmailMulti-million pound safety works have been ordered to stop part of a road subsiding onto the busy West Coast Main Line. Network Rail is spending £4 million on the project to stabilise West Parade, in Fenton, after huge cracks appeared along the side of the crumbling road. It has already spent £700,000 by digging up the top two metres of the embankment and replacing it with reinforced earth, installing a new 70-metre long wall and fence, and resurfacing the carriageway to eliminate the cracks. It follows residents and motorists complaining about the state of the road for years. The resurfaced West Parade, in Fenton Neighbour Paul Frost, aged 62, said: “The road was in a bad state and if you drove down it you could feel yourself go down on one side.” Read MoreTop stories on StokeonTrentLive Driver named following fatal collision Dad slams ‘disgusting’ hospital window One of the cracks on West Parade, Fenton Now Network Rail is to carry out further work at track level within the next two years as part of the project. Network Rail route asset manager Tony Butler said: “West Parade’s road surface was showing visible signs of movement. We had to act quickly to maintain access for residents as well as protect the West Coast Main Line below – the busiest mixed-use railway in Europe. “A second phase of work is due to take place at track level within the next two years to secure the long-term stability of the site.” The safety improvement works on West Parade, Fenton Residents have told how they thought their vehicles were sloping towards the railway tracks when they drove along West Parade. Read More’Ken’s really enjoying the new lido!’ – Campaigning Desiree snaps these ingenious photos to highlight HUGE potholes on her estate   Carol Walters, aged 71, of West Parade, said: “The road was horrendous before and properly sloped towards the drop. It was scary because it was gradually getting worse. “The road had been cracked for about five years and if you were driving towards Stoke, you could feel the slope in the road, and it felt like you had nothing to hold on to. Now it’s level, it’s great.” Police search for missing woman Want to tell us about something going on where you live? Let us know – Tweet us  @SOTLive  or message us on  our Facebook page. And if you have pictures to share, tag us on Instagram at  StokeonTrentLive. Punter found hiding in bushes last_img read more